There is an need on focusing on winnable seats !!

While studying the verdict 2014, there are some interesting observations which need a scientific study of polarization of votes and seat conversions.  The Data is from Election Commission website as at 10.58 p.m. Today (16/05/2014). The seats include leads as shown in EC website.

  • In terms of vote share BSP ranks third after BJP and INC but fails to get a single seat.
  • AIADMK and Trinamool Congress with  vote share less than BSP strike impressive seats of 37 and 34 respectively.
  • Congress with 19.4% of votes cast gets 44 seats, while BJP with 31.2% votes get 282 seats. 

A Tally of top 10 parties in terms of popular votes polled is as under:

Sl No Party % Vote Share Seats won
1 BJP

31.2

282

2 INC

19.4

44

3 BSP

4.2

0

4 AITC

3.9

34

5 SP

3.4

5

6 CPM

3.3

9

7 AIADMK

3.3

37

8 TDP

2.4

16

9 YSRC

2.3

9

10 AAP

2.1

4

 

  • BJD manages to have an impressive tally of 20 with only 1.7% of total popular votes
  • Shiv Sena has a tally of 18 with 1.9% of votes.

horse race Verdict 2014: First Past the Post: Winner takes it all

What these numbers suggest is that electoral management now needs a scientific rigor to optimize results. There is an imperative need on focusing on winnable seats more than spreading it out evenly. Micro Management is the key to electoral success. And regional satraps continue to play big daddy on their own. like  AIADMK, Trinamool Congress or BJD.

By Hari Hara Mishra @hariharamishra

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